New Zealand Raises Key Interest Rate to Record 7.75% (Update1)

New Zealand's central bank raised
the benchmark interest rate to a record 7.75 percent, the second
increase in seven weeks, because surging housing demand and
consumer spending may fan inflation.

``The resurgence in economic activity that began in late
2006 has continued over recent months, with domestic demand
continuing to expand strongly,'' Reserve Bank Governor Alan
Bollard said in a statement released in Wellington today. ``The
lift in domestic demand is placing further pressure on already-
stretched productive resources.''

Bollard faces the dilemma of trying to cool domestic demand
while limiting the damage to exporters, whose earnings have been
eroded as higher interest rates caused the New Zealand dollar to
surge to a 22-year high. He is trying to curb housing demand and
consumer spending to keep inflation from accelerating to the top
end of the bank's 1 percent-to-3 percent range.

``There is a compelling case for further monetary
tightening,'' Craig Ebert, senior markets economist at Bank of
New Zealand Ltd. in Wellington, said before the report. ``Failing
to tighten now runs the risk of feeding the renewed acceleration
already evident in consumer spending.''

The New Zealand dollar fell to 74.36 U.S. cents at 9:09 a.m.
in Wellington from 74.49 cents immediately before the statement,
in which Bollard refrained from commenting on the likelihood of
further interest rate increases.

Six of 14 economists surveyed by Bloomberg News expected the
increase. More economists expected Bollard would leave interest
rates unchanged today and raise them at his next review on June 7,
allowing him scope to gauge reports on housing, retail spending
and unemployment due the next four weeks.

Bollard raised rates in March for the first time in 15
months, saying that inflation may have accelerated beyond the top
of his target unless he increased borrowing costs.

Inflation Outcomes

Today's increase ``is aimed at ensuring that inflation
outcomes remain consistent with achieving the target,'' he said.

Consumer prices rose 2.6 percent in the 12 months ended
March 31. Still, prices of non-tradable items, which are not
influenced by the currency and better reflect core inflation,
rose by about 4 percent and remain ``persistently strong,''
Bollard said.

Demand is being fueled by a buoyant housing market,
increases in government expenditure, a rising terms of trade,
ongoing net immigration and a robust labor market, he said.

The median house price rose to a record NZ$343,500
($255,000) in March, while home sales rose 9.5 percent from a
year earlier, according to a report from the Real Estate
Institute of New Zealand Inc. on April 19. Retail sales in
February rose 1.9 percent, the fastest pace since March 2004,
according to a government report on April 13.

New Zealand's jobless rate fell to 3.7 percent in the fourth
quarter. Wages for non-government workers rose a record 3.2
percent in 2006.

Capacity Stretched

``Firms report that capacity is very stretched and that they
are again experiencing increased difficulty in finding both
skilled and unskilled staff,'' Bollard said.

New Zealand companies are more optimistic about their
second-quarter trading, according to a New Zealand Institute of
Economic Research Inc. survey. More companies plan to raise
prices and more said it was harder to find workers, a signal that
wages may rise, fanning inflation.

New Zealand's benchmark rate is 7.25 percentage points more
than Japan's and 2.5 points higher than the U.S. Federal Reserve
target, helping the currency surge 18 percent the past year, the
best performing major currency tracked by Bloomberg.

The stronger currency ``is hurting exporters already under
pressure,'' Stephen Koukoulas, global strategist at TD Securities
in London, said in an April 20 report. ``A rate increase could
see the New Zealand dollar spike higher, further escalating the
imbalances within the economy.''

Foreign investors borrow at cheaper rates to buy New Zealand
assets, buoying demand for the currency, which rose to a 22-year-
high of 74.91 U.S. cents on April 18.

`Exceptional, Unjustified'

``The exchange rate is now at levels that are both
exceptional by historical standards, and unjustified on the basis
of medium-term fundamentals,'' Bollard said.

The currency's gain crimps exports, which make up 30 percent
of the $102 billion economy.

Sanford Ltd., New Zealand's largest publicly traded fishing
company, said on April 16 that first-half profit fell because the
strong currency was ``decimating'' earnings and resulting in
foreign exchange losses.

``Parts of the export sector continue to face challenging
conditions,'' Bollard said. Still, the sharp lift in world dairy
prices is expected to provide a boost to incomes in that sector
and tourist arrivals are continuing to grow, he said.

The stronger currency will help curb inflation, Bollard said.
Rising home loan rates may also slow housing demand.

Lenders have increased home-loan interest rates over the
past month. The rate offered by the nation's four biggest banks
on a two-year fixed-interest loan rose to 8.9 percent from about
8.4 percent in February. Variable home loan rates rose a quarter
point to about 9.8 percent.

To contact the reporter on this story:
Tracy Withers in Wellington at
.